While the National Electoral Institute (INE) conducts quick counts, the projections of the Chamber of Deputies and Senate indicate that Morena and its allies, the Green Party (PVEM) and PT, will have an absolute majority.
This will facilitate the implementation of “Plan C” in the Congress of the Union, promoted by the President of Mexico, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, and which the winning candidate, Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, has said she will continue. The plan involves proposing reforms to the Mexican Constitution.
Morena Holds 247 Seats
Although in the upper house, they still need three seats to achieve a qualified majority, in the Chamber of Deputies, the parties of the "Keep Making History" coalition will have it starting September 1st with 372 seats, 38 more than the 334 needed to approve constitutional reforms and the Federal Expenditure Budget (PEF).
Currently, Morena holds 247 seats; the Green Party (PVEM), 75; and the Labor Party (PT), 50. Together, they would occupy 74.4% of the San Lázaro floor.
The opposition would occupy 104 seats on the San Lázaro floor: the National Action Party (PAN) would have 70; the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), 33; the Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD), just one; while the Citizens' Movement (MC) would occupy 23.
Would Start Discussing and Potentially Approving the Reform Package
In the Senate, the story is similar: Morena and its allies secure the most seats with 83—60 for the ruling party, 14 for the PVEM, and 9 for the PT; they need 86 to achieve a qualified majority. Meanwhile, the opposition secured 22 seats for PAN, 17 for PRI, and 2 for PRD.
With these results, pending the electoral authority’s review of the district count process and ratification by the Electoral Tribunal, the parties need to add their national (proportional representation) lists to be properly constituted for the new legislature starting on September 1st.
This new Congress would start discussing and, if necessary, approving the reform package President López Obrador announced on February 5th.
For the spanish version of the article, you can visit this link.
You are also invited to consult the supplement "Ola guinda se extiende," which describes the landscape of the new electoral map following the elections on June 2.